I believe that the Trump administration is trying to save American lives. I believe that Dr. Fauci is the right man to have the President’s ear. I believe that our country is in the midst of a transformation that we can shape for a much better future but only if we develop the same character that existed in this land in 1776.
But these are my beliefs, not facts as presented below.
- In the scientific community, all research papers are based upon an initial hypothesis (H0). The hypothesis is proven or disproven by testing. The results of the testing are analyzed with a statistical program (usually SAS) and if the p value (usually 0.05 or below) validates the original hypothesis, the paper is sent to other laboratories for a peer review in which they must replicate the results of the paper. If the results cannot be replicated, then the paper is rejected. The paper will state the p value(s), it will not state if the original hypothesis is true. We saw this process completely invalidated by politicians and their lackeys in the scientific community to promote global cooling/global warming/climate change) to advance an agenda. Here is an appropriate example for SARS which EVERYONE needs to understand. Warning, this paper will educate you concerning how science works and what ADE is. To be clear, HB-19 is a SARS coronavirus.
- The above process takes time but I am confident that studies have been already made using the accepted process. If it was me, I would focus on the R0 value first and then the case fatality rate second (CFR). I would use populations which are not biased and have a sample size (n) of at least 100 people. With correct funding, I would prefer larger sample sizes with a minimum of 10 samples to preform an analysis of variance (ANOVA). The parameters of the testing must be well defined (age, sex ,race, climate, etc.) in order to be replicated. So the testing of HB-19 would take a few days. The results could be analyzed within a few more days. If the p value was acceptable for publication, the peer review process would begin. In the real world, a leader in the scientific community (i.e. a rainmaker) would have their initial results submitted to the government immediately. This is a shortened version of the process: I would repeat the testing on the original samples to watch the spread of the virus and to calculate the CFR every week.
- So where are the papers after 4 months?
I believe the data is being kept from the general public for obvious reasons. It may be that they are correct and that we cannot handle the truth. Has anyone heard even one of the talking head experts discuss a p value? Or are these “experts” just looking for their five minutes of fame. As are the politicians who have now been exposed as children lost in the forest.
I am thankful to God for the path he has led me to walk. The scientific knowledge to recognize this pandemic early through its exponential growth and China’s reaction to lockdown Wuhan allowed me to self-quarantine since the first week of February. It allowed me to be a watchman on the wall to warn others.
I pray to God that we learn from this teaching and develop the courage, virtue, morality and humility to have our souls tempered to develop a better future for our children.