Confirmed 2,869,176
Infected 1,831,9786 3.9%
Deaths 200,741 7%
Recovered 836,457 29.2%
A comment on this site stated:
Let’s be clear — 80% of the population are only knocked out for 2 weeks or so — no worse. For that 80% than the seasonal flu, and once they had recovered, they could go back to work.
If you add the number of deaths and the number of recovered, you will see that represents 36.2% of the people confirmed to have COVID-19. I hate to assume but that leaved 63.8% of the people still in some stage of recovery of this disease. I understand exponential growth but no one is discussing the length of recovery once someone contracts this virus. And that period of time does not include the real time of recovery for lung damage. Or the secondary reinfection with ADE.
No one knows the period of time when a person would be able to go back to work safely:
- Some people have been tested to be negative after “recovery” and then tested positive. We do not know if this is due to false positives, false negatives or reinfection by a new strain.
- We do not know if the virus is a retrovirus allowing its RNA to become a DNA copy and inserted into the host’s DNA allowing it to become latent for a period of time and then be expressed later.
- We do not know when a person’s infectivity stops. People have been shown to be carriers of the virus after “recovering”.
A vaccine will be developed at some point but we do not know if the vaccine will be effective on new mutations or if it will be an ongoing, best guess yearly flu shot.
What to do to?
- Provide masks and gloves to everyone at a reasonable cost to lower the R0 below 1 as Czechoslovakia did.
- Do daily testing of employees on a daily basis at the start of their shift.
- Practice good personal sanitation.
- Practice social distancing.
- Do not pay people more to stay at home than going to work.
Common sense solutions are self-evident. Especially if you start becoming self-reliant instead of government-reliant. There are many positives aspects to this event which we can change such as trade policy, distribution of goods, food production, education at all levels and rebuilding our manufacturing base.
But the first step is to answer why we do not have masks after three months which is the most important aspect to regaining our health and economy.
David DeGerolamo
