Dunning-Kruger Effect

from Grok:

The Dunning-Kruger effect is a cognitive bias where people with low ability in a specific area tend to overestimate their knowledge or competence, while those who are highly competent might underestimate their own abilities or assume tasks that are easy for them are also easy for others. Here’s a breakdown:

1. Overestimation by the Incompetent: Individuals who lack skill in an area often fail to recognize their own incompetence. This leads them to rate their ability as much higher than it actually is. They might feel overly confident in making decisions or judgments in that area.
2. Underestimation by the Competent: Conversely, people who are highly skilled might assume that everyone else can perform tasks at their level of expertise, leading them to underestimate their own abilities relative to others. They might think, “If this is easy for me, it must be easy for everyone.”

Key Points of the Dunning-Kruger Effect:

• Misjudgment of Ability: People who are unskilled in a domain are not only prone to making errors but also lack the very expertise needed to recognize how bad their performance is.
• Double Burden: According to Dunning and Kruger, the incompetent suffer from a dual burden: not only do they reach mistaken conclusions and make regrettable errors, but their incompetence robs them of the ability to realize it.
• Illusory Superiority: This is closely related to the effect where many people think they are above average, even when statistical norms would suggest that’s not possible for everyone.

Example:

• In a study, students who performed very poorly on a test of grammar and logic often believed they did well above average. Conversely, students who scored in the top quartile often underestimated their performance relative to others.

Implications:

• This effect can lead to significant errors in various domains, from everyday decision-making to professional settings, where overconfident individuals might take on tasks they’re not qualified for, or conversely, where highly competent individuals might not take on leadership roles or fail to recognize their own value.
• It underscores the importance of self-awareness, continuous learning, and seeking feedback, particularly in areas where one lacks expertise.

The Dunning-Kruger effect highlights a fundamental human flaw in self-assessment which can impact learning, decision-making, and social interactions. Awareness of this bias can foster more critical self-evaluation and encourage seeking out education or expertise in areas where one’s knowledge is lacking.

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Kamala Harris is the poster child for Dunning-Kruger. The interesting part of her example is the number of people who actually voted for her. I understand that government employees were a large part of that number including the people who will be brought to justice (hopefully) by the new administration. I also understand that voter fraud still played a factor in the 2024 elections as we see in Wisconsin, Arizona and Nevada. But we have to admit that “low information” voters played a substantial role in their opposition to restoring the Republic back to the people. And many of these people are on medications for mental conditions as I have written previously.

So how do we move forward? The two best options are already in motion:

1. Eliminating the Department of Education so that our children will stop being indoctrinated and receive an education that will allow them to contribute and enhance our nation.
2. Overhaul our medical tyranny. Eliminating fluoride in the water will increase the IQs of our children. Overhauling the FDA and making our food healthier will increase both physical and mental health. Eliminating vaccines for our children will decrease autism and other debilitating health consequences.

Our educational system is in shambles. As President Trump stated, we pay three times the amount per student for education compared to the rest of the world and our children rank low compared to other developed nations.

Trump announces he will close the federal Department of Education.

He will send it all back to the states and allow local states and counties and cities decide their education policy.

pic.twitter.com/s7UtbWITBL

— Wall Street Silver (@WallStreetSilv) November 11, 2024

I want to close with another example of the Dunning-Kruger effect. Trump won the electoral college and the popular vote. People are now saying that he won by voter fraud. While that charge will not gain any traction in the country, it is indicative of low IQ people who truly believe what they “feel” is truth.

David DeGerolamo

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