Manufacturing In New York Area Expands At Slower Pace

Manufacturing in the New York region expanded in June at the slowest pace in seven months as orders and sales cooled.

The Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s general economic index dropped to 2.3 this month, less than the lowest forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News and down from 17.1 in May. Readings greater than zero signal expansion in the so-called Empire State Index, which covers New York, northern New Jersey and southern Connecticut. The last negative reading was in October.

A pullback by American consumers over the past two months combined with a global slowdown means U.S. factories, one of the bright spots of the recovery, may continue to receive fewer orders and reduce production. Fed policy makers meet next week to determine if the world’s largest economy needs further stimulus to boost growth and reduce unemployment.

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Collateral Damage

Of all the regulatory changes that have been proposed or implemented, the biggest potential game changer for the OTC derivatives markets are the collateral requirements that will now be imposed on all derivatives transactions.

Collateralization is, to be sure, common practice and an integral risk management tool in the OTC derivatives market today. The growing number of cleared OTC derivatives trades (more than 50% of the IRS market, for example) are subject to both initial (IM) and variation (VM) margins. The terms of collateralization are governed by the Credit Support Annex (CSA) to the ISDA Master Agreement.

To put this in context, collateralization of OTC derivative trades was something that was left to negotiation between two parties who would, based on their assessment of each other, customize and set terms accordingly. Those terms could (or not) include an initial margin (in most cases not), a requirement to post collateral if the mark-to-market exceeded certain levels (threshold amounts), and the type of collateral, frequency of collateral calls, and others.

However, in a broad swipe, new regulations across geographies make collateralization mandatory. More OTC derivatives will be required to be cleared, meaning that counterparties will now need to post IM and VM for them. Similar rules are soon to be unveiled by a group of global regulators, led by the US Federal Reserve Board, for transactions that are not suitable for clearing. By all indications, such collateralization requirements are likely to be more severe than those cleared, if nothing else to induce further use of clearing, and also because such transactions are likely to be less liquid and/or less frequently traded, requiring more collateral.

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House approves gas drilling in NC

Creedmoor passes fracking ban, Cary could followRALEIGH, N.C. — After a three-hour debate Thursday, the state House approved legalizing natural gas exploration in North Carolina, including a drilling method that environmentalists say could contaminate water supplies.

The House voted 66-43 for Senate Bill 820, which directs several state agencies to devise drilling regulations by October 2014, when the first permits could be offered.

The bill returns to the Senate, which approved it last week mainly along party lines, for a final vote to concur with changes adopted by the House before heading to Gov. Beverly Perdue’s desk.

Sen. Robert Rucho, R-Mecklenburg, who sponsored the bill, has said he is on board with the House changes, and the measure is expected to easily win final approval.

The Republican-led House beat back several amendments by Democratic lawmakers seeking to slow down the process, which House Minority Leader Joe Hackney said would cause “social disruption” in rural Chatham, Lee and Moore counties, where the greatest pocket of natural gas lies.

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Something Wicked According to Both Sides – Trans Pacific Partnership

The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) treaty is an attack on our nation’s sovereignty. Both the left and the right are opposing it as details emerge. Representative ISSA has posted a leaked document to show the public what is being secretly negotiated by the Obama administration. I have included four articles representing a broad spectrum of political and foreign viewpoints. How do we know which hand to watch in this administration? Especially when treaties are negotiated in secret from the public and Congress.

David DeGerolamo

Treaty Negotiated In Secret – Hidden Even from Congressmen Who Oversee Treaties – Threatens to Destroy National Sovereignty

The normally-reserved Yves Smith asks whether Obama should be impeached over it.

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What Happens If Greece Leaves the Eurozone?

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Is This Gun Control Or Hysteria?

The Blaze and GBTV’s S.E. Cupp battles with Dan Gross on MSNBC’s Now with Alex Wagner.

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News & Observer “Outs” Big Ed’s as Confederate Stronghold!

It is hardly “news” that The News & Observer would go out of its way to “stir the pot” with racist journalism. Can you say “Duke Lacrosse” boy and girls? But seldom has the failing newspaper been so blatant and shameful as it was this week. …. Reporter John Frank links Big Ed’s Restaurant to “Confederacy”. SHAMEFUL even by N&O bottom-feeder standards.

Prominent Repub Congressman Paul Ryan is visiting Raleigh on Tuesday. His meeting will be at the popular Raleigh landmark restaurant Big Ed’s. Big Ed’s has been THE meeting place for “politicos” along every point of the partisan spectrum for decades.

With the Democs having dominated NC politics for the past 100 years, one can safely say FAR more Democrat “deals have been done” over Big Ed’s biscuits soaked in blackstrap molasses and other downhome Southern delicacies than have eeeeevil Republican deals.

But now that a prominent Republican will be in Big Ed’s, the N&O’s junior political newshound – John Frank – reminds the N&O’s ever dwindling readership that:

Big Ed’s has a Confederate memorial on its wall….. OH NO!!!!

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HBO DISPLAYS BUSH’S HEAD ON SPIKE IN ‘GAME OF THRONES’

Update: HBO apologizes for putting George W. Bush’s head on stake in ‘Game of Thrones’

If HBO had put Obama’s head on a pike, you can be sure that someone would have been charged for threatening the president. Just ask Ted Nugent.

Repercussions for HBO: nothing. Ann Barnhardt is correct. Until we drop cable and limit Internet viewing, we are not serious about saving the country.

David DeGerolamo

The hit HBO series “Game of Thrones” features some epic sword battles and gore. And, apparently, the disembodied head of the 43rd President of the United States. The web site io9.com reports the first season DVD of “Thrones” finds the show’s creators discussing a rather unusual prop used in one chilling episode.

Source

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Egypt Slips Further Into Despotism

(Christian Science Monitor)   Egypt’s Justice Ministry on Wednesday gave the country’s military police and intelligence agents the right to arrest civilians over wide range of suspected crimes, including “resisting authorities,” sparking charges that the country’s military rulers want to extend their grip on power even after handing over to civilians.

The decision comes during heightened tensions in Egypt, three days before a highly polarized presidential runoff election and a day before rulings by the country’s highest court that could dissolve the Islamist-dominated parliament and even cancel the Saturday-Sunday presidential vote.

The decision, published in the official gazette, would remain in effect until a new constitution is in place. The process of writing a constitution has hit snags. On Tuesday the Islamist-dominated parliament voted on an assembly to draft the document, but liberals boycotted the session. An earlier attempt to name the body collapsed because of opposition from liberals. Both times they charged that Islamists were unfairly dominating the procedure.

Military analysts said the military arrest powers were a temporary measure intended to fill a security vacuum resulting from last year’s uprising, when the police force collapsed and disappeared from the streets during the first days of the mass protests.

“The police force has not recovered completely, and security is not back,” said Sayyed Hashim, a former military prosecutor, in a TV interview.

Rights activists warned the new decision creates a reproduction of notorious emergency laws that expired recently and said that it also could extend the rule of the generals, even if they transfer power to civilians on time by the end of the month.

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Let’s Hope This Is Not Foreshadowing US Elections

Updated 11:20 AM: Egypt’s highest court on Thursday declared the parliament invalid, and the country’s interim military rulers declared full legislative authority, triggering a new level of chaos and confusion in the country’s leadership.

Speculation is rampant in Egypt today as the military is authorized to arrest citizens and their parliament may be dissolved. Based on recent events in the United States concerning the NDAA and restriction of free speech, it would be interesting to debate the analogy between Egypt and the United States with this first article below.

The second article where the Egyptian parliament may be dissolved has no analogy here. Since Congress has abandoned their Constitutional role, I don’t see how they could be disbanded under the Constitution unless the President declares a state of emergency.

The events unfolding in Egypt are probably a prelude to a military takeover prior to the weekend elections where the Muslim Brotherhood is predicted to take control of the country.

David DeGerolamo

Egypt Justice Ministry authorizes civilian arrests by military

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Dare County spares no expense in paying top administrators

It pays to be a high-level County employee in Dare County. According to a 2009 UNC School of Government Report, our top administrators are some of the highest paid in the state, earning comparable salaries to administrators in some of the biggest counties.
Board of Elections:
The Board of Elections Director in Dare County is the 9th highest paid in the state (out of 100), earning $76,496.

Counties with similar cost of living indices and/or populations pay their Board of Elections Directors considerably less.  For instance, Macon County has an identical population and cost of living index yet pays their BoE Director 47% less.

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Spain’s Bond Sales Hit the “Unsustainable” 7% Mark

(Zerohedge)  The Spanish downgrade aftermath: SPG at 7%. Well, not quite 7%…. 6.998% as of 5am Eastern. A new record. We give it a few hours before 7% is breached once the news hits that Moody’s has cut Spain’s three biggest banks by 1-3 notches as explained yesterday. Also, CDS at a record 611 bps is not helping either.

Meanwhile, the currency markets are substantially off kilter as the Greek Elections loom.  OANDA has decided to close their currency trading operations on Sunday becuase of the major risks associated with such a potential shift in EUR/USD as this election might spur.  Also from (Zerohedge), EURUSD has dropped to more than 2 sigma cheap to its swap-spread-implied fair-value (though as we have seen in the late summer and fall of last year this can remain for longer periods) as the ‘chaos’ premium hits the Euro.

Everything is tee’d up for a crazy ride, and everyone’s ticket is about to be punched.  The end has indeed begun, not with a bang, but with a wimper.  Soon, noone will be able to deny what is happening – globally or here at home.
HERE WE GO, FOLKS…

 

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Hillarious: Clinton Set Up?

Hillary Clinton assertion that Russian is supplying attack helicopters to Syria has been denied by Russia. Now, US intelligence agencies have agreed with Russia and “contradicted” the Secretary of State. Really. The Secretary of State is making baseless accusations against Russia in what could lead to an escalation of war without checking with intelligence agencies? Here are some possibilities:

1. Russia is shipping attack helicopters to Syria and US intelligence offices are trying to cover it up. This scenario implies a conspiracy to expedite the civil war in Syria.

2. Intelligence agencies were  not consulted by the State Department prior to making their accusations. Since the ramifications of the consequences are significant, this is not possible.

3. Hillary was set up. If this is true, it could be payback for Bill Clinton’s recent statements against the administration and his support for Romney. In this case, Hillary’s reign will be coming to an end and her chances of running for president in 2016 have been eliminated.

It is possible that options 1 and 3 together can be considered. One thing is certain: our Department of State has no credibility in the eyes of the world’s leaders.

David DeGerolamo

US Intel corrects Clinton: Russia is not sending Assad new helicopters 
DEBKAfile June 14, 2012, 8:43 AM (GMT+02:00)

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Caution: Market Volatility Coming on June 17th

Oanda has cancelled trading this Sunday (June 17, 2012) “due to the extreme volatility some market analysts foresee could result in the coming days“. Whether this trading moratorium will be extended past Monday will not be known but the elections in Egypt and Greece this weekend have the capability to impact the future of the Middle East and Europe. The Muslim Brotherhood are predicted to take control of Egypt and the Communist Party is predicted to take control of Greece.

If you have not ready for a roller coaster ride, follow their advice and get off the train now.

David DeGerolamo

“Due To The Extreme Volatility Some Market Analysts Foresee…”

From Oanda

Due to the extreme volatility some market analysts foresee could result in the coming days, OANDA fxTrade will not accept any trading activity from 6:00 AM EST until approximately 3:00 PM EST, on Sunday, June 17, 2012. OANDA believes the convergence of a major market event during off-market hours represents a potential trading risk and has taken this rare step to protect traders from excessive rate fluctuations.

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Spain: the beginning of the end

httpv://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1GrxHDyXyj8

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