Is Israel Rolling the Dice Again?

From Vox Day:

The US government appears to be bracing for another Israeli attack on Iran:

The US has begun evacuating non-essential personnel and family members from its embassies and military bases in the Middle East in light of escalating tensions with Iran. The move follows President Donald Trump’s accusation that Tehran is “slow-walking” negotiations.

“Based on our latest analysis, we decided to reduce the footprint of our Mission in Iraq,” the State Department said in an emailed statement to the media on Wednesday. Reuters cited a US official as saying that voluntary departures had also been authorized at the embassies in Kuwait and Bahrain.

The Pentagon has likewise approved the departure of family members from military installations in the region. “CENTCOM is working in close coordination with our Department of State counterparts, as well as our allies and partners in the region, to maintain a constant state of readiness to support any number of missions around the world at any time,” a defense official told reporters.

According to the Washington Post, American intelligence officials are concerned that Israel may strike Iranian nuclear facilities without US consent.

Well, Netanyahu has gotten away with invading Gaza and committing any number of atrocities there and managed to remove the Assad regime from Syria. So, it’s probably to be expected that the more aggressive elements of the Israeli government are in the ascendance and thinking that a) it’s not going to get any easier over time, b) they’ve gotten away with everything so far, and c) it’s easier to get forgiveness than permission.

I expect they’re also counting on their Israeli-flag-waving senators and congressmen to pressure the US military to bail them out if they get in over their heads with Iran. That’s the only part of their projected analysis with which I disagree, because I’m fairly certain that both the Israelis and the US politicians are significantly overestimating the Israeli-US capabilities vis-a-vis the Iranian-Russian-Chinese capabilities. We’ve seen that with regards to Ukraine, NATO, and Russia, we’ve seen it with regards to Yemen, Saudi Arabia, and the Red Sea, and so it would be a surprise if it wasn’t happening again.

Underestimation of enemy forces and capabilities is absolutely normal in wartime. It’s observable going back to Athens and the failed Sicilian Expedition. Which is why the first question you should ask yourself whenever looking at a military conflict is this: which side appears to be overestimating its own capabilities and/or underestimating the capabilities of its enemy?

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Pastor Guest
Pastor Guest
2 months ago

The Trump administration seems to be taking this very seriously. Both in what they are doing (evacuating nonessential personnel and dependents) and by being unusually quiet about what is happening.

Jane Tzilvelis
Jane Tzilvelis
2 months ago
Reply to  Roth Harbard

Who knows? The fog of war thickens.

kal kal
kal kal
2 months ago
Reply to  Roth Harbard

see above Roth and do the reading, this is the US 100% starting a war with Iran. After all they are on the list of the “Seven Nations.”

Pastor Guest
Pastor Guest
2 months ago

Just a thought – Is Israel about to take out Iran’s nuclear facilities or is the U.S. about to take out Iran’s nuclear facilities?

mike fink
mike fink
2 months ago
Reply to  Pastor Guest

Israel cannot do it by any stretch and the best the US can do is hit the same spot precisely on the side of multiple dispersed mountains with guided penetration bombs and hope for the best. Iran has gone very deep and dispersed and even incorporated slanting and zig zag tunneling as they went down to avoid a straight up and down shafting. The reality is this whole thing is a fool’s errand, and Iran cannot be stopped short of a full scale nuclear attack on the country to kill most of the population and leave the few survivors with nothing. That would probably trigger a Russian and maybe also a Chinese counter strike.
Limited US airstrikes are likely to result in lost aircraft even if the B-2 bombers are used exclusively. It will trigger a savage Iranian response against anything they can reach in the region and the raid will fail anyway. We will lose ground troops, aircraft, and any US Navy in the immediate area. Iran says they will hit the Israeli nuclear complex at Dimona, which includes at least one above ground reactor. They have already demonstrated that their missile tech cannot be intercepted by anything we have.
Trump has already foolishly made many threatening remarks directed at Iran and we have THAAD and Patriot crews in Israel to defend, so there is no way we can stay untouched even if Israel attacks alone. Our entire sovereign right to determine our own course and national interest have been surrendered to the whims of the Zionists who can trigger a regional nuclear war whether we object or not.

kal kal
kal kal
2 months ago
Reply to  mike fink

good analysis in my view. We know that Israel will employ the Samsom when this goes sour for them, but Israel is just our expendable patsy in the big picture. Israel and the US do not have the firepower to hit the underground facilities, thus for many months now the troops from Fort Lewis have been training to attempt to take them by ground assault (oscint posted info) THAAD and Patriots have both proven to be easily defeated, hell the Houthi’s got pass THAAD.

Dennis Lyons
Dennis Lyons
2 months ago

israel and America are the biggest terrorists that exist in the world! I am an AMERICAN and I hope that israel and America are destroyed. Humanity will be much better off! Russia, China and Iran it is time to send America and the fucking jews straight to hell! How do you like me now!

Bill S
Bill S
2 months ago
Reply to  Dennis Lyons

I don’t like you now Dennis.

Randolph Scott
Randolph Scott
2 months ago
Reply to  Bill S

Ditto!

Dennis Lyons
Dennis Lyons
2 months ago
Reply to  Roth Harbard

LMAO..trumps admin is 90% fucking jews or zionist jew lovers! Period…WTFU…trump is jew owned…bought and paid for by jew money. Get ALL jews out of American government! jews only destroy wherever they slither~
All the bullshit about how special America is ..is a lie! America was an exception in the fifties and actually cared about the citizens! Now our government is corrupted to the core! You can tell yourselves what good keyboard warriors you are and turn your heads away from what America has done to many nations in this world. Now the jew owned house, senate and trump are owned, bought and paid for by jew money! If you think you live in a free country; you are brainwashed! Remember trump is the godfather of the poison jab! trump still takes credit for a poisonous jab that has killed and maimed millions!
It isn’t MAGA it is make israel great again! Now it’s get Russia, Iran and China…What a joke America has become! I voted for trump three times, hoping for the best; well, the best is the man of peace turns out to be the puppet prince of war! israel is in control of our government and many of the folks on this forum are lemmings! China, Iran have not attacked any nation! Russia has every right to defend it borders from nato encroachment! Russia never started this war…it was started in 2014 when cia (America) overthrew ukraine’s government and put in the puppet zelinsky!
Keep waving your American flags even when trump brings the jew noahide laws into America! jews are already begging house/senate to silence free speech! You know who owns you…they are the ones you better not criticized!
Noone is going to ride in and save your lemming asses…Prepare accordingly…! America was thrown out with the toilet water!
How do you like me now….:-)

kal kal
kal kal
2 months ago
Reply to  Dennis Lyons

diatribes serve only to ensure your keyboard takes a beating.

Dennis Lyons
Dennis Lyons
2 months ago
Reply to  kal kal

LOL….KKKK…can’t fix stupid lemmings!

kal kal
kal kal
2 months ago
Reply to  Roth Harbard

the correct answer, in my humble opinion. Benjamin Franklin warned us.

Stan Sylvester
Stan Sylvester
2 months ago

“By deception shall thou do war.” Motto of the Mossad
Don’t laugh. How many folks still believe Osama Bin Laden and his box cutter armed accomplices were behind 9/11?

Dennis Lyons
Dennis Lyons
2 months ago
Reply to  Stan Sylvester

9/11 jews…lemmings are just to dumbed down to know the truth! satan is the king of deception and israel is his spawn; propped up by the American government terrorists! There is a reckoning a comin…:-)

Stan Sylvester
Stan Sylvester
2 months ago
Reply to  Dennis Lyons

Thank you for taking the time to reply.

kal kal
kal kal
2 months ago
Reply to  Stan Sylvester

yes sir.

Last edited 2 months ago by kal kal
Stan Sylvester
Stan Sylvester
2 months ago
Reply to  kal kal

Thank you for taking the time to reply.