Murphy Mayor David Ramsey and Andrews Mayor James Reid issued a statement officially declaring states of emergencies in their respective towns and instilling curfews for pedestrians.
The Murphy curfew begins a 9 p.m. and extends until 6 a.m, starting on March 20.
The curfew doesn’t apply to employees of businesses that are open to employees or customers of open businesses who are traveling directly to the stores and back to their cars.
Additionally, the curfew order doesn’t apply to occupants in motor vehicles, just pedestrians.
Anyone found in non-compliance with this order “shall be guilty of a Class Three Misdemeanor and subject to imprisonment of up to 20 days or a fine up to $100.00.”
The Trump administration, moving quickly to halt the spread of the coronavirus, is seriously considering grounding all passenger air traffic for up to 30 days, temporarily halting stock trading on Wall Street, and imposing a shelter-in-place rule, according to officials.
Key officials have begun alerting industry leaders, Capitol Hill, and agencies that the “radical” plan could come early next week if the warlike efforts to stop the spread of the virus fail.
On Thursday, the administration began to prepare the nation for 9/11-style moves when the State Department issued a “Level Four” warning against traveling overseas. The warning is the most severe that the department has.
In a notice, the State Department said Americans traveling abroad may find their travel “severely disrupted” and “may be forced to remain outside of the United States for an indefinite time frame.”
The three radical moves could come as soon as next week, depending on how much the coronavirus spreads. There are some internal government models that show that the number of people infected in the coming two months could reach over 5 million.
When historians look back at this time, we suspect that California Gov. Gavin Newsom’s landmark decision to order more than 40 million Californians to remain at home on Thursday night will be remembered as an important demarcation point – the beginning of a more heavy handed response as it becomes increasingly clear that too many Americans are simply ignoring the government.
So far, NY Gov. Andrew Cuomo and President Trump have insisted that they have no plans to issue lockdown orders. But with the number of confirmed cases expected to soar in the coming days and over the weekend, the situation is certainly evolving rapidly, and rumors about other states considering preemptive lockdowns (remember, the whole point is to stay “ahead of the curve”) continue to circulate.
Over the past week, central bankers around the world have slashed rates, stepped up bond buying programs, promised to expand their back-stopping of credit markets and – most importantly – urged the politicians in charge to do their part and pass massive fiscal stimulus. Late last night, the Senate unveiled a $1 trillion package that will feature direct transfers to many Americans.
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Since the outbreak of the CHINESE WUHAN coronavirus, I’ve been watching very carefully as things progressed. With an R0 of 4-6.7 (depending on whose data you believe), and an asymptomatic period (yet still contagious) of up to 27 days, it didn’t take me more than a few minutes to run through the ramifications, and say “oh, SHIT.”
But continuing to watch as this thing moved on, the numbers just didn’t add up. It was obvious China was bullshitting their numbers, and probably still are. If we ignore the China numbers, and instead look at the Johns Hopkins coronavirus map, excluding China, we find the doubling time to be ~4.2 days, which is really bad.
The Lancet published an initial study saying 83% of those exposed became infected, and of those, a mortality rate of 15% (total mortality rate of 12.45% of the population), it basically mean that 1 in 8 people exposed will die. These numbers should be shocking to the average person. They certainly were to me.
Yet news reports claim a mortality rate of <2%. As I write this, the current number of infected in the USA is 9,345 and the number of yesterday’s deaths is 150. You would think that this equates to a mortality rate of 1.6%, which matches the benchmark that the CDC is proudly proclaiming (aside from the fact that if 200 million people are infected, that works out to 3.2 million dead…
But is this an accurate assessment? The answer is an emphatic NO.
In fact, it’s complete bullshit.
The virus incubates in the body for (on average) 5 days from exposure, and serious complications from 5 to 11 days. So for us to accurately calculate the mortality rate, we need to compare current deaths to a number infected in the past: I’ll use ten days ago. Again, as I write this, the current number of deaths is 150, but the number infected ten days ago, which in this case, is 541. Now, the mortality rate isn’t 1.6%, but 27.7%…
Now, the question becomes, does that sound reasonable? Compared to the Lancet study, the answer is yes.
This AIN’T your normal flu.
The ONLY way I see, to break this cycle, is the much-discussed lock-down of the USA, for at least six weeks… That covers the 5-day incubation time, the (at maximum) 27 days of running around with no symptoms while still being contagious, and the (up to) 11 days of suffering the effects and either living or dying, 44 days. Anything less… and we’re going to be in big trouble, and SOON.
Finally some good news? Several drugs show promise for treating covid-19. Chloroquine (and hydroxychloroquine), an anti-malarial drug, is in the news today, prominently mentioned during President Trump’s morning press conference.
Research does indeed indicate that chloroquine has ‘apparent efficacy and acceptable safety against covid-19 associated pneumonia’, and has shown to help patients recover more quickly from the coronavirus.
Other treatments — azithromycin, antiviral remdesivir, and Kevzara — are now thought to make a positive difference, too. This encouraging news comes none too soon, as countries around the world are now in a race against time with covid-19.
Entering the hockey-stick BOOM! phase, cases are jumping dramatically and health care systems world-wide brace for the coming tsunami of seriously ill patients.
Will we “flatten the curve” enough in time? We will find out very soon.
According to usdebtclock.org, the on-the-books’ debt of the US government is almost $23.5 trillion, or over $72,000 per citizen. The four biggest items in the government’s budget are Medicare/Medicaid, Social Security, defense, and interest on the debt. The government’s unfunded liabilities are over $128 trillion, or over $397,000 per citizen. Now it is true that national assets stand at $151 trillion, or over $468,000 per citizen. Unfortunately, many of those assets are debt, equity or contractual claims (like insurance and pensions) on insolvent governments or businesses, or real estate, often subject to a mortgage. The problem is that all these assets are valued at current market, which can shift dramatically in a very short time—as we’re now seeing—while the nominal value of the debt doesn’t go down, it just continues to grow, and with the coronavirus outbreak its growth rate will increase.
Taking a cue from their parents and grandparents, the younger generation wants to grant itself new entitlements—higher education, medical care, guaranteed incomes, etc. They’ve flocked to Bernie Sanders, the most prolific promiser of free stuff. The older generation owns most of the assets and because they’re retiring, whatever they “contribute” towards taxes and debt services will be far outweighed by what they’ll draw in Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid. Consequently, for whatever it grants itself, the younger generation will be either be paying taxes or adding to its already staggering debt and unfunded liability burdens. It will be shooting itself in the foot.
America it
seems is in a bad dream that it just can’t wake up from. Half of our country
believes this is a nothingburger and a hoax, the other half is starting to
realize that this is quiet possibly a worst case scenario and are emptying the
shelves of everything they can get their hands on.
Currently I believe our government is trying to do their best to keep utter chaos from being unleashed. They have been slowly rolling out closure’s here closure’s there etc. However that could be doing more harm than good with the spread of this virus. Is the government just trying to suppress panic? Or are they hoping that people aren’t prepared and when it all comes tumbling down they beg their government to save them and trade away their freedoms? I can tell you now I will not trade away my freedoms and become a slave, I’d rather die.
This Virus
is Dangerous. This pandemic is not all hype. Government inevitably seeks
expansion of power no matter the means. Is this virus a perfect opportunity for
them to expand power and control? You bet it is?
But don’t
blow this virus off as “it’s just the flu.” Here are some numbers for you:
Once
thousands start dying each week in the United States, it’s going to be
increasingly difficult to pretend it’s all some sort of hoax.
While the
virus should be a concern for everyone. People should be really concerned for
the after effects that are quickly approaching. The economic collapse is
virtually inevitable now.
I think I am
about done talking to people about this situation. People look at me like I’m a
mad man or insane when I try explaining to them just how bad this situation
could get. People think that we can just isolate ourselves for two weeks and it’ll
be over and life will go back to normal. They are Delusional.
Everything
about this situation screams to me life is over as we know it. I know it’s hard
to fathom for most people. I enjoy air conditioning, heat in the winter, I
enjoy going to the grocery store and buying food. I hope I am wrong. I hope you
come back here in a couple weeks and laugh your ass of at me. Enjoy…. But you
won’t. People are scared of facing the truth. I understand that. I’ve been
called many names over the past few weeks. It’s ok. I feel sorry for those
people. They are ignoring the warning signs. A wise man told me recently, “people
hoping that this all gets better soon is like a drowning man wishing the oceans
would drain to save him.”
It makes me sick to my stomach thinking of what is most likely coming. I pray I am wrong. Perhaps it is best I quit worrying about trying to wake up people to the fact they are running out of time to prepare to survive. Go ahead and laugh at me. The thing is you’ll never be able to apologize to me or other’s who are sounding the alarms if I/we are right and that is ok. I wish you well. I hope you survive. Keep your family safe. I’m done trying to wake you up.
The Centers for Disease Control has a $6.6 billion budget and one job which it messes up every time.
The last time the CDC had a serious workout was six years ago during the Ebola crisis. Back then CDC guidelines allowed medical personnel infected with Ebola to avoid a quarantine and interact with Americans until they showed undeniable symptoms of the disease. There were no protocols in place for treating the potentially infected resulting in the further spread of the disease inside the United States.
At the height of the crisis, confidence in the CDC fell to 37%. Meanwhile, CDC personnel had managed to mishandle Ebola virus samples, accidentally sending samples of the live virus to CDC labs. And the heads of the health bureaucracy blamed the lack of funding for their failure to have an Ebola vaccine.
The self-quarantine measures adopted in response to the coronavirus outbreak are partially a response to the lessons of the Ebola disaster.
But during the Ebola crisis, Democrats tried to shift responsibility from the Obama administration by blaming Republicans for cutting the CDC’s budget from $6.5 billion to $5.9 billion. Sound familiar? Where do those billions for the CDC actually go? Among other things, pushing gun control. The terrible budget deal from December allocated $25 million to the CDC and NIH to study gun violence.
During the Ebola crisis, the CDC had been spending a mere $2.6 million on gun violence studies. But the CDC has a history of wasting money on everything from a $106 million visitor’s center with Japanese gardens, a $200K gym, a transgender beauty pageant, not to mention promoting bike paths.
With millions now living under home lockdown (or as it is more gently referred to, “mandatory shelter in place”) the serious reality of the coronavirus’ impact is sinking in.
Living within the confines of your home, squeezed in with family members, can be frustrating and stressful. Especially when you’re seeing your savings vaporize in the markets on a daily basis.
On top of that, many households aren’t receiving income while under lockdown.
And many of those still with jobs are increasingly fearful that the longer this persists, the more likely their job will be lost in the coming mass layoffs. The key to preserving your happiness and sanity during this undetermined period of house arrest will be maintaining your emotional resilience, as well as healthy relationships with those living under your roof.
With expert guidance on how to do that, Chris takes time in today’s video update to interview Dr. Peter Boghossian, best-selling author of the book ‘How To Have Impossible Conversations’.
Dr Boghossian explains how to get your spouse, your kids, your elderly/at risk family members, onto or at least nearer to a mutual understanding of the ‘house rules’ that will preserve safety, respect and harmony.
Posted in#coronavirus, Editorial|Comments Off on Coronavirus Lockdown! Now It Gets Tough